Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 2.4 in
- RP forecast
- 2.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 2.4 in | 2.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 19.5 in | 19.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.4 mph | 96.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.1 in | 14.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.6 in | 6.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 109 | 110 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Zone rate | 41.1% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.9% | 30.7% | 31.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 31.7% | 30.0% | 31.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.5% | 35.8% | 37.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 30.2% | 27.6% | 29.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 15.1% | 15.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.5% | 56.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 52.0% | 52.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 30.6% | 29.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.0% | 28.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.2% | 11.4% | — |