Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.0 in
- RP forecast
- 8.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.0 in | 8.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.7 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.1 mph | 91.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.0 in | 4.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.7 in | 11.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 84 | 92 | 93 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 90 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 54.7% | 51.2% | 51.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 37.9% | 28.6% | 29.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 7.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 29.4% | 36.8% | 38.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 58.8% | 45.9% | 43.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 43.0% | 43.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 40.6% | 40.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.8% | 33.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.9% | 17.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.6% | 28.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.4% | 17.6% | — |