Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 3.4 in
- RP forecast
- 3.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.42 | 1.30 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 37.7% |
| RP | 3.96 | 1.26 | 23.4% | 7.9% | 39.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.4 in | 3.4 in | 3.4 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 19.2 in | 19.2 in | 19.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.2 mph | 96.8 mph | 96.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | 5.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.7 in | 11.8 in | 11.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| Zone rate | 50.1% | 49.9% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.7% | 30.2% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| Whiff rate | 21.3% | 23.5% | 25.2% | 23.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.8% | 37.7% | 39.7% | 37.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.9% | 41.9% | 39.5% | 41.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.6% | 21.4% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.6% | 28.1% | 27.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 68.2% | 68.2% | 68.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 51.8% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 16.6% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% |