Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.4 in
- RP forecast
- 10.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.4 in | 10.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.1 mph | 93.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.9 in | 19.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.9 in | 6.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | — |
| Zone rate | 52.4% | 50.8% | 50.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.0% | 27.8% | 28.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 19.3% | 21.8% | 23.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 35.2% | 35.3% | 37.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 28.4% | 38.9% | 36.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.9% | 18.4% | 20.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.5% | 27.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.9% | 50.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.5% | 45.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.9% | 24.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.7% | 23.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.3% | 23.6% | — |