Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.2 in
- RP forecast
- 7.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.62 | 1.14 | 28.0% | 7.0% | 40.8% |
| RP | 3.16 | 1.10 | 30.1% | 7.3% | 42.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.2 in | 7.2 in | 7.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.0 in | 17.1 in | 17.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.1 mph | 96.7 mph | 96.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.1 in | 2.3 in | 2.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.3 in | 5.5 in | 5.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 110 | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 108 | 109 | 108 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 109 | 109 | 109 |
| Zone rate | 48.3% | 48.7% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.6% | 31.2% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| Whiff rate | 30.7% | 30.7% | 32.4% | 30.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.7% | 40.8% | 42.8% | 40.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.3% | 39.8% | 37.4% | 39.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Strikeout rate | 27.3% | 28.0% | 30.1% | 28.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.2% | 35.7% | 35.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.8% | 44.8% | 44.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.2% | 37.8% | 37.2% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.6% | 20.7% | 21.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.2% | 27.4% | 26.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% |