Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.4 in
- RP forecast
- 9.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.16 | 1.28 | 22.7% | 8.1% | 41.5% |
| RP | 3.71 | 1.24 | 24.8% | 8.4% | 43.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.4 in | 9.4 in | 9.4 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.7 in | 16.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.7 mph | 96.3 mph | 95.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.5 in | 11.6 in | 11.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.3 in | 8.4 in | 8.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 49.4% | 49.5% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.9% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| Whiff rate | 21.5% | 24.5% | 26.2% | 24.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.0% | 41.5% | 43.6% | 41.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.2% | 40.1% | 37.7% | 40.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 22.7% | 24.8% | 22.7% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.8% | 34.4% | 33.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.5% | 55.6% | 55.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.0% | 33.6% | 33.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.0% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% |