Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 10.6 in
- RP forecast
- 10.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.05 | 1.24 | 23.0% | 7.3% | 42.1% |
| RP | 3.59 | 1.20 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 44.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.6 in | 10.6 in | 10.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.1 in | 15.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.5 mph | 94.0 mph | 93.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.7 in | 13.9 in | 13.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.6 in | 11.7 in | 11.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 109 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 109 | 109 | 109 |
| Zone rate | 51.9% | 50.3% | 50.0% | 50.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.6% | 31.1% | 31.7% | 31.1% |
| Whiff rate | 24.4% | 25.1% | 26.8% | 25.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.4% | 42.1% | 44.1% | 42.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.2% | 39.6% | 37.2% | 39.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.5% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 23.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 17.1% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.8% | 61.8% | 61.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.2% | 42.8% | 42.2% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.1% | 20.1% | 21.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.1% | 22.3% | 21.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% |