Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 10.9 in
- RP forecast
- 10.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.32 | 1.29 | 21.8% | 7.6% | 42.4% |
| RP | 3.87 | 1.26 | 23.9% | 7.9% | 44.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.9 in | 10.9 in | 10.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.2 in | 17.3 in | 17.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.1 mph | 92.7 mph | 92.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.0 in | 13.1 in | 13.0 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.8 in | 12.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 40.9% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 46.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.6% | 27.8% | 28.4% | 27.8% |
| Whiff rate | 23.5% | 25.1% | 26.9% | 25.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.7% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 42.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.0% | 41.9% | 39.5% | 41.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.2% | 21.8% | 23.9% | 21.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.2% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.5% | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.1% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.8% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 17.9% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.6% | 16.8% | 17.6% |