Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.9 in
- RP forecast
- 7.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.9 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.6 mph | 96.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.6 in | 6.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.5% | 49.1% | 48.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.6% | 28.6% | 29.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.9% | 27.1% | 28.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 26.3% | 37.2% | 39.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.8% | 40.6% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.3% | 22.1% | 24.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 54.2% | 54.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 40.0% | 40.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.7% | 32.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.0% | 5.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.5% | 26.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.3% | 22.5% | — |