Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.2 in
- RP forecast
- 13.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.2 in | 13.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 9.7 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.9 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.9 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 33.9% | 43.2% | 42.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 12.8% | 24.5% | 25.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 0.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 12.5% | 34.5% | 36.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 25.0% | 37.3% | 34.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 35.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 7.1% | 14.4% | 16.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 19.1% | 19.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 77.7% | 77.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 11.6% | 12.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.7% | 1.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 54.3% | 55.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.4% | 15.6% | — |