Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 5.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.36 | 1.32 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 42.7% |
| RP | 3.90 | 1.28 | 21.9% | 8.1% | 44.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 5.9 in | 6.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.8 in | 13.8 in | 13.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.6 mph | 94.2 mph | 93.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.3 in | 19.4 in | 19.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.7 in | 16.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 88 | 89 | 88 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Zone rate | 45.5% | 47.9% | 47.7% | 47.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.4% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 23.6% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 23.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.9% | 42.7% | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.9% | 40.1% | 37.7% | 40.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.7% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.1% | 32.6% | 32.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.0% | 57.0% | 57.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 23.9% | 24.5% | 23.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.7% | 29.0% | 27.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.9% | 17.1% | 17.9% |