Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.9 in
- RP forecast
- 16.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 2.5 in | 2.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.7 mph | 91.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.9 in | 18.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.0 in | 19.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Zone rate | 51.3% | 49.9% | 49.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 22.1% | 25.3% | 25.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.3% | 20.0% | 21.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.3% | 45.6% | 47.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.7% | 41.2% | 38.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 14.5% | 15.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.8% | 53.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 23.2% | 23.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 32.8% | 31.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.5% | 31.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 21.2% | — |