Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.2 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.94 | 1.23 | 23.0% | 6.8% | 44.3% |
| RP | 3.49 | 1.19 | 25.1% | 7.1% | 46.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.2 in | 9.2 in | 9.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.7 in | 13.7 in | 13.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.5 mph | 97.1 mph | 96.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.8 in | 10.9 in | 10.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.2 in | 18.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | 102 |
| Zone rate | 49.2% | 49.0% | 48.8% | 49.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.3% | 31.5% | 32.1% | 31.5% |
| Whiff rate | 22.5% | 24.9% | 26.6% | 24.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.2% | 44.3% | 46.3% | 44.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.1% | 40.5% | 38.0% | 40.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.1% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 23.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 38.0% | 38.5% | 38.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.4% | 53.4% | 53.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.3% | 27.9% | 27.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.1% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.7% | 19.9% | 20.7% |