Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.7 in
- RP forecast
- 4.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.7 in | 4.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.7 in | 18.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.0 in | 5.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 99 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 104 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.9% | 46.0% | 45.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.2% | 26.5% | 27.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 36.6% | 26.8% | 28.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.5% | 29.7% | 31.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 51.7% | 46.2% | 43.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 27.4% | 19.7% | 21.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.7% | 34.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.7% | 57.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 51.0% | 51.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 5.9% | 5.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.3% | 1.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.0% | 31.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |