Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.1 in
- RP forecast
- 7.1 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.1 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.2 in | 14.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.8 mph | 97.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.1 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.0 in | 14.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 27.8% | 40.8% | 40.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 46.2% | 32.3% | 32.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 0.0% | 26.8% | 28.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 0.0% | 33.8% | 31.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 25.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.0% | 22.2% | 24.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.6% | 25.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 63.6% | 63.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.0% | 31.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.3% | 11.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.2% | 30.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 20.0% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable