Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.5 in
- RP forecast
- 6.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.5 in | 6.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.7 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.3 in | 2.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.4 in | 10.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 33.6% | 42.9% | 42.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 17.3% | 25.3% | 25.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 40.5% | 29.8% | 31.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 20.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.0% | 43.7% | 45.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 60.0% | 44.4% | 42.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 1.8 pp | 1.8 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 39.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.0% | 21.3% | 23.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.4% | 37.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.1% | 58.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.3% | 35.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.7% | 33.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.9% | 19.1% | — |