Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.1 in
- RP forecast
- 9.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.84 | 1.20 | 26.1% | 7.7% | 40.3% |
| RP | 3.38 | 1.16 | 28.2% | 8.0% | 42.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.1 in | 9.0 in | 9.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.1 in | 17.1 in | 17.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.0 mph | 94.5 mph | 94.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.2 in | 5.3 in | 5.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.5 in | 18.6 in | 18.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 100 | 102 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 50.2% | 49.7% | 49.5% | 49.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.8% | 31.0% | 31.6% | 31.0% |
| Whiff rate | 29.1% | 28.1% | 29.9% | 28.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.5% | 40.3% | 42.3% | 40.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.7% | 39.2% | 36.8% | 39.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 28.6% | 26.1% | 28.2% | 26.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 43.3% | 43.9% | 43.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.1% | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.9% | 42.5% | 41.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.8% | 31.1% | 29.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% |