Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 8.9 in
- RP forecast
- 8.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.9 in | 8.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.8 mph | 94.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.6 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.3 in | 17.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 41.6% | 46.4% | 46.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.9% | 28.5% | 29.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.4% | 23.2% | 25.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 32.1% | 33.6% | 35.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.1% | 40.3% | 37.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.6% | 17.0% | 19.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.9% | 38.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.9% | 53.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.3% | 27.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.7% | 7.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.7% | 28.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.0% | 19.3% | — |