Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 4.1 in
- RP forecast
- 4.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.16 | 1.32 | 22.1% | 8.7% | 48.0% |
| RP | 3.70 | 1.28 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 50.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.1 in | 4.0 in | 4.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.9 in | 13.9 in | 13.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.2 mph | 92.8 mph | 92.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | 16.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.6 in | 3.7 in | 3.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 100 | 102 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 44.5% | 47.2% | 46.9% | 47.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.0% | 28.4% | 29.0% | 28.4% |
| Whiff rate | 26.4% | 24.7% | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 49.8% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.7% | 38.2% | 35.7% | 38.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.1% | 22.1% | 24.2% | 22.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 49.0% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.2% | 44.2% | 44.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.5% | 29.7% | 28.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.4% | 19.6% | 20.4% |