Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.3 in
- RP forecast
- 5.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.3 in | 5.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.6 mph | 91.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.8 in | 6.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.3 in | 14.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 81 | 89 | 90 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 88 | 89 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 88 | 89 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 90 | 90 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.0% | 49.4% | 49.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 24.9% | 24.2% | 24.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 26.1% | 31.2% | 33.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.0% | 40.8% | 38.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 41.5% | 42.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.0% | 45.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.7% | 32.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.8% | 13.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.8% | 28.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.0% | 14.2% | — |