Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.7 in
- RP forecast
- 9.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.7 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.2 mph | 93.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.6 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 52.8% | 50.4% | 50.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 38.1% | 30.3% | 30.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.9% | 25.1% | 26.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 18.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 27.3% | 35.6% | 37.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.4% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.4% | 19.9% | 22.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 44.0% | 44.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.7% | 52.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 19.8% | 20.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.0% | 2.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.6% | 34.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.9% | 17.1% | — |