Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.8 in
- RP forecast
- 6.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.8 in | 6.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.6 in | 18.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.9 in | 6.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.3% | 47.7% | 47.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.0% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.6% | 24.5% | 26.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 29.2% | 34.9% | 36.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 39.2% | 36.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.6% | 20.2% | 22.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 36.6% | 37.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.5% | 58.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 51.4% | 52.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.5% | 2.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.0% | 34.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |