Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.5 in
- RP forecast
- 15.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.5 in | 15.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 3.3 in | 3.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.2 mph | 91.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.7 in | 13.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 60.0% | 52.9% | 52.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 18.8% | 25.6% | 26.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.1% | 21.3% | 23.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 83.3% | 58.8% | 60.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 39.1% | 36.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.8% | 21.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.5% | 62.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.1% | 44.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.3% | 16.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 17.3% | 18.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.9% | 14.2% | — |