Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 12.3 in
- RP forecast
- 12.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.39 | 1.32 | 19.6% | 7.5% | 44.6% |
| RP | 3.93 | 1.29 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 46.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.3 in | 12.2 in | 12.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 9.5 in | 9.6 in | 9.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.8 mph | 95.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.1 in | 18.0 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | 16.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Zone rate | 51.5% | 50.1% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.5% | 28.2% | 28.8% | 28.2% |
| Whiff rate | 23.7% | 22.7% | 24.5% | 22.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.9% | 44.6% | 46.6% | 44.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.6% | 42.0% | 39.6% | 42.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.3% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.3% | 20.8% | 20.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 70.0% | 70.0% | 70.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.3% | 34.9% | 34.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | 23.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% |