Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.1 in
- RP forecast
- 15.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.1 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 9.8 in | 9.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.0 mph | 92.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.1 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.2 in | 3.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 30.2% | 39.7% | 39.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.4% | 28.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 40.9% | 30.2% | 31.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 14.3% | 32.8% | 34.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.9% | 41.6% | 39.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 2.0 pp | 2.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 25.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 31.3% | 22.4% | 24.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.6% | 25.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.8% | 60.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.6% | 33.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.8% | 13.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.6% | 24.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.1% | 18.3% | — |