Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.8 in
- RP forecast
- 6.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.11 | 1.29 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 43.0% |
| RP | 3.65 | 1.25 | 26.2% | 9.2% | 45.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.8 in | 6.7 in | 6.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.5 in | 16.5 in | 16.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.1 mph | 92.7 mph | 92.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.3 in | 19.4 in | 19.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.8 in | 15.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 99 | 101 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 93 | 93 | 93 |
| Zone rate | 47.3% | 48.7% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.4% | 27.0% | 27.6% | 27.0% |
| Whiff rate | 29.1% | 27.6% | 29.4% | 27.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.0% | 43.0% | 45.1% | 43.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.4% | 38.7% | 36.3% | 38.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.9% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.8% | 33.4% | 32.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 42.4% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.3% | 32.8% | 32.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 25.0% | 24.1% | 25.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.4% | 27.6% | 26.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.4% | 22.6% | 23.4% |