Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.6 in
- RP · chosen
- 15.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.15 | 1.35 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 49.2% |
| RP · chosen | 3.69 | 1.31 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 51.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.6 in | 15.6 in | 15.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.3 in | 5.3 in | 5.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.9 mph | 95.5 mph | 95.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.4 in | 5.5 in | 5.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | 14.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 104 | 106 | 106 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | 106 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 108 | 109 | 109 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 93 | 93 | 93 |
| Zone rate | 44.1% | 46.5% | 46.3% | 46.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.5% | 27.5% | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| Whiff rate | 26.0% | 24.7% | 26.5% | 26.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 55.6% | 49.2% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.3% | 40.0% | 37.6% | 37.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.8% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 36.6% | 37.1% | 37.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.6% | 60.6% | 60.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.9% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.4% | 23.6% | 23.6% |