Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.2 in
- RP forecast
- 12.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.2 in | 12.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.2 mph | 93.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.0 in | 13.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.0 in | 13.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 89 | 94 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 47.4% | 49.4% | 49.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 22.2% | 25.2% | 25.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.6% | 20.5% | 22.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.3% | 42.4% | 44.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.3% | 41.5% | 39.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 17.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 9.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.4% | 25.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.6% | 52.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.5% | 45.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.4% | 22.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.0% | 22.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.5% | — |