Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.7 in
- RP forecast
- 16.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.7 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 2.0 in | 2.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 88.9 mph | 89.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.6 in | 13.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 44.2% | 46.0% | 45.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.9% | 28.6% | 29.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 64.3% | 52.9% | 54.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 64.3% | 43.2% | 40.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 5.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.4% | 47.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.4% | 36.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.2% | 22.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.7% | 28.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.2% | 22.4% | — |