Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.2 in
- RP forecast
- 6.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.2 in | 6.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.8 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.1 in | 13.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 105 | 107 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.8% | 45.8% | 45.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.9% | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 37.0% | 29.5% | 31.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.8% | 38.3% | 40.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 31.3% | 38.5% | 36.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 30.5% | 22.7% | 24.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 36.8% | 37.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.7% | 49.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.5% | 42.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 13.7% | 12.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.2% | 33.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.9% | 13.2% | — |