Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.3 in
- RP forecast
- 3.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.3 in | 3.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 20.2 in | 20.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.4 in | 9.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.1 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 85 | 86 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 42.3% | 46.2% | 46.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 29.0% | 29.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.2% | 24.8% | 26.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 22.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 36.0% | 38.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.4% | 41.0% | 38.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 26.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.0% | 23.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 72.5% | 72.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.2% | 34.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.5% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.4% | 35.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.8% | 18.0% | — |