Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.4 in
- RP forecast
- 15.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.4 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.8 in | 10.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.9 mph | 95.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.1 in | 8.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 103 | 104 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 108 | 110 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 48.3% | 48.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.0% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.1% | 23.0% | 24.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 46.9% | 43.4% | 45.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.8% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.7% | 21.1% | 23.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.8% | 23.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 69.2% | 69.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 15.6% | 16.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.2% | 6.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 36.3% | 37.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 21.2% | — |