Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 14.9 in
- RP forecast
- 14.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 5.07 | 1.51 | 11.9% | 8.6% | 50.6% |
| RP | 4.61 | 1.47 | 14.0% | 8.9% | 52.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.9 in | 14.9 in | 14.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 1.2 in | 1.3 in | 1.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.2 mph | 91.8 mph | 91.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.1 in | 9.2 in | 9.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.0 in | 9.1 in | 9.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 84 | 92 | 93 | 92 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | 92 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | 93 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 44.1% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 46.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 25.2% |
| Whiff rate | 19.1% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.2% | 50.6% | 52.7% | 50.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.9% | 42.8% | 40.4% | 42.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 15.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.2% | 29.7% | 29.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.1% | 48.1% | 48.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.9% | 33.5% | 32.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.1% | 22.2% | 23.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.6% | 22.3% |