Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.5 in
- RP forecast
- 5.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.5 in | 5.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.8 in | 14.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.0 mph | 90.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.9 in | 10.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.9 in | 13.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 86 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 89 | 90 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 48.0% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 21.6% | 24.8% | 25.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.5% | 23.2% | 24.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 15.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 28.1% | 32.8% | 34.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.0% | 42.8% | 40.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 15.5% | 17.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.9% | 25.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.4% | 54.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 19.4% | 19.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 18.2% | 17.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 3.3% | 3.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.7% | 23.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.7% | 18.9% | — |