Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 18.1 in
- RP · chosen
- 18.1 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.15 | 1.32 | 20.2% | 7.5% | 54.2% |
| RP · chosen | 3.69 | 1.28 | 22.3% | 7.8% | 56.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 18.1 in | 18.1 in | 18.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.8 in | 5.9 in | 5.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.8 mph | 97.4 mph | 97.4 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | 18.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | 4.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 103 | 104 | 104 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 105 | 105 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | 97 |
| Zone rate | 53.1% | 51.9% | 51.7% | 51.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.5% | 29.0% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| Whiff rate | 19.4% | 22.2% | 24.0% | 24.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 56.5% | 54.2% | 56.2% | 56.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.0% | 42.2% | 39.8% | 39.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.3% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 22.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 67.5% | 67.5% | 67.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 59.8% | 60.4% | 60.4% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 19.2% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| First secondary usage | — | 16.5% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% |