Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 18.3 in
- RP forecast
- 18.3 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 18.3 in | 18.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 1.2 in | 1.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.3 mph | 90.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.4 in | 11.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.9 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.9% | 49.7% | 49.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.2% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 19.6% | 19.4% | 21.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.5% | 45.3% | 47.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 30.3% | 38.2% | 35.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.3% | 17.6% | 19.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.6% | 32.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.4% | 56.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.1% | 49.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.8% | 10.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.5% | 29.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.3% | 12.5% | — |