Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.7 in
- RP forecast
- 9.7 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.7 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.5 in | 12.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.0 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 31.4% | 40.3% | 40.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 16.7% | 21.9% | 22.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 21.2% | 23.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 80.0% | 47.7% | 49.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 0.0% | 28.6% | 26.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | — * | — * | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 33.3% | 20.6% | 20.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.5% | 25.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 70.5% | 70.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.2% | 33.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.9% | 4.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.9% | 32.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.5% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable