Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.6 in
- RP forecast
- 14.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.6 in | 14.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.4 in | 5.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.5 mph | 94.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.3 in | 12.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.0 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.0% | 50.1% | 49.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.7% | 26.1% | 26.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 18.6% | 16.7% | 18.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.3% | 42.1% | 44.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 48.1% | 43.5% | 41.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 18.9% | 15.6% | 17.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.9% | 23.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 63.2% | 63.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.6% | 34.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 13.5% | 12.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.2% | 20.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.3% | 16.5% | — |