Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.0 in
- RP forecast
- 9.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.0 in | 9.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.4 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.8 mph | 92.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.7 in | 6.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.9 in | 7.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 85 | 92 | 93 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 89 | 90 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 41.4% | 45.9% | 45.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.1% | 22.0% | 23.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.7% | 38.2% | 40.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 25.0% | 38.7% | 36.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.3% | 15.0% | 17.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 63.0% | 63.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 30.4% | 30.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 19.0% | 19.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.9% | 4.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.7% | 34.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 23.0% | — |