Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.2 in
- RP forecast
- 7.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.2 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.4 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.8 in | 9.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.4 in | 9.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 49.6% | 50.1% | 49.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.1% | 26.2% | 26.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.5% | 22.9% | 24.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 22.7% | 33.7% | 35.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 54.5% | 41.6% | 39.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.5% | 21.8% | 23.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.4% | 20.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 75.2% | 75.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.3% | 49.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.1% | 3.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 23.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.7% | 16.9% | — |