Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.0 in
- RP forecast
- 11.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.0 in | 11.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.0 in | 12.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.9 mph | 91.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.9 in | 20.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.2 in | 12.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 89 | 90 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.3% | 45.8% | 45.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 19.1% | 26.2% | 26.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 31.1% | 27.6% | 29.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.3% | 39.3% | 41.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.5% | 40.6% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 15.0% | 17.4% | 19.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 49.0% | 49.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 13.5% | 14.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.1% | 23.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 45.9% | 47.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.0% | 22.2% | — |