Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.8 in
- RP forecast
- 5.7 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.8 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.8 in | 17.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.1 mph | 93.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.8 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.7 in | 11.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.2% | 49.9% | 49.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.0% | 29.3% | 29.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.1% | 24.3% | 26.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.3% | 38.1% | 40.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.9% | 42.5% | 40.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.0% | 18.7% | 20.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 56.0% | 56.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 38.7% | 38.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.5% | 33.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.6% | 3.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 37.2% | 38.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.2% | 15.4% | — |