Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 4.8 in
- RP forecast
- 4.7 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.10 | 1.25 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 37.2% |
| RP | 3.64 | 1.21 | 27.0% | 8.8% | 39.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.8 in | 4.7 in | 4.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.9 in | 19.0 in | 18.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.6 mph | 95.2 mph | 94.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.8 in | 14.9 in | 14.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.8 in | 7.0 in | 6.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 94 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 49.4% | 48.9% | 48.6% | 48.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.7% | 29.4% | 30.0% | 29.4% |
| Whiff rate | 25.5% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 26.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 35.9% | 37.2% | 39.3% | 37.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.8% | 39.3% | 36.9% | 39.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 25.8% | 24.9% | 27.0% | 24.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 40.7% | 41.2% | 40.7% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.7% | 55.7% | 55.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.9% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.6% | 21.8% | 20.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.0% | 17.2% | 18.0% |