Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.6 in
- RP forecast
- 6.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.23 | 1.27 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 42.3% |
| RP | 3.77 | 1.23 | 24.1% | 7.7% | 44.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.6 in | 6.6 in | 6.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | 16.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.6 mph | 95.2 mph | 94.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.6 in | 3.8 in | 3.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.2 in | 17.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 100 | 102 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 53.3% | 51.7% | 51.5% | 51.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.0% | 29.1% | 29.7% | 29.1% |
| Whiff rate | 20.7% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.2% | 42.3% | 44.3% | 42.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.9% | 41.0% | 38.6% | 41.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.4% | 22.0% | 24.1% | 22.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.7% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.0% | 58.0% | 58.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 43.9% | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.1% | 26.3% | 25.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% |