Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.3 in
- RP forecast
- 9.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.3 in | 9.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.7 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.0 mph | 96.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.3 in | 12.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.8 in | 5.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 111 | 104 | 105 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.5% | 49.3% | 49.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.3% | 29.3% | 29.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.1% | 27.3% | 29.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.2% | 44.1% | 46.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 26.8% | 37.3% | 34.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.4% | 24.2% | 26.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.6% | 24.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.7% | 52.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 46.3% | 46.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.9% | 24.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.8% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.7% | 26.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.8% | 19.0% | — |