Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.0 in
- RP forecast
- 13.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.0 in | 13.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.5 in | 12.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.3 mph | 95.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.6 in | 4.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.8 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.5% | 48.2% | 48.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.7% | 24.9% | 26.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 29.5% | 37.9% | 39.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.3% | 40.8% | 38.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 27.2% | 22.7% | 24.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.9% | 63.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 55.8% | 56.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.6% | 7.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 25.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.2% | 9.4% | — |