Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.7 in
- RP forecast
- 14.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.7 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 4.3 in | 4.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.3 mph | 92.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.7 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.2 in | 13.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.8% | 48.1% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.5% | 26.7% | 27.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.3% | 20.9% | 22.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 17.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 30.4% | 42.0% | 44.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.5% | 42.3% | 39.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.3% | 20.6% | 22.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 48.2% | 48.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.5% | 44.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.5% | 34.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.7% | 5.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.8% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 25.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.6% | 23.8% | — |