Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.0 in
- RP forecast
- 9.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.0 in | 9.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.7 mph | 95.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.0 in | 16.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.7 in | 17.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.9% | 49.3% | 49.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.6% | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.7% | 23.6% | 25.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 26.8% | 34.3% | 36.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.9% | 43.2% | 40.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.4% | 25.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 66.9% | 67.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 45.4% | 46.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.1% | 6.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 22.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.7% | 12.9% | — |