Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.3 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.72 | 1.36 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 40.2% |
| RP | 4.26 | 1.32 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 42.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.3 in | 9.2 in | 9.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.0 in | 16.1 in | 16.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.8 mph | 95.4 mph | 94.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.5 in | 9.6 in | 9.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.1 in | 19.2 in | 19.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Zone rate | 51.9% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 50.5% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.3% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Whiff rate | 19.1% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.5% | 40.2% | 42.2% | 40.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.2% | 40.7% | 38.3% | 40.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 14.8% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.1% | 23.6% | 23.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 67.1% | 67.1% | 67.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.0% | 28.5% | 28.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.6% | 22.8% | 21.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.0% | 16.2% | 17.0% |