Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.1 in
- RP · chosen
- 7.1 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.34 | 1.34 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 40.4% |
| RP · chosen | 3.88 | 1.31 | 26.2% | 10.4% | 42.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.1 in | 7.1 in | 7.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.3 in | 16.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.3 mph | 95.8 mph | 95.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.2 in | 10.3 in | 10.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.7 in | 10.8 in | 10.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 98 | 100 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 99 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 98 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 101 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 45.0% | 46.3% | 46.1% | 46.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.3% | 30.3% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| Whiff rate | 32.8% | 29.4% | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.9% | 40.4% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.5% | 40.9% | 38.4% | 38.4% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 27.3% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 26.2% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.5% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.6% | 52.6% | 52.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.7% | 37.3% | 37.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.4% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.2% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.4% | 20.6% | 20.6% |